The acrylonitrile market is experiencing notable price fluctuations driven by global supply and demand dynamics in 2025, with macro forces such as energy prices, production output, trade policy, and currency shifts playing a significant role in determining the current price level. The recent surge in energy prices has led to an increase in production costs, resulting in higher acrylonitrile prices. Additionally, trade policies and currency fluctuations have also impacted the acrylonitrile price, with exporters facing challenges due to changing import duties and exchange rates. As a result, the acrylonitrile price has become highly volatile, with buyers and sellers closely monitoring the market for any changes in supply and demand.Historical Trend & Key Drivers
The acrylonitrile price history from 2020 to 2025 has been marked by significant fluctuations, with prices ranging from approximately $1,500 per ton in 2020 to $2,500 per ton in 2022, and then decreasing to around $2,000 per ton in 2023. Key years such as 2020 and 2022 saw notable price increases due to supply chain disruptions and increased demand. Currently, the acrylonitrile price is being driven by several factors, including raw material costs, production rates in key supplying countries such as the United States, China, and Japan, and downstream industry demand from sectors like automotive and textiles. The production rates in these countries have a significant impact on the global acrylonitrile price, with any changes in production levels affecting the overall supply and demand balance. Furthermore, the demand from downstream industries also plays a crucial role in determining the acrylonitrile price, with changes in demand leading to fluctuations in the price.
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Regional Price Overview
The acrylonitrile prices vary across key regions, with North America, specifically the USA, quoting FOB prices, Europe, particularly Germany, quoting CFR Hamburg prices, and Asia-Pacific countries like China, India, and South Korea quoting domestic, imported, and CFR Busan prices, respectively. In Latin America, Brazil quotes CIF prices. The regional price gaps can be attributed to logistics, import duties, local production, and feedstock proximity. For instance, the acrylonitrile price in China is influenced by the country's large production capacity and proximity to feedstocks, resulting in lower prices compared to other regions. In contrast, the acrylonitrile price in India is higher due to import duties and logistics costs. The regional price differences also reflect the varying levels of demand and supply in each region, with prices adjusting accordingly to balance the market. Additionally, the prices in each region are also influenced by the level of competition, with more competitive markets tends to have lower prices.
Outlook for 2026-2027
Acrylonitrile prices are expected to remain driven by supply-demand imbalances and trade policy developments through 2026-2027, with the potential for price increases due to rising production costs and growing demand from downstream industries. The biggest risk factors for the acrylonitrile price include fluctuations in energy prices, changes in trade policies, and supply chain disruptions. Buyers and sellers should closely monitor these factors and adjust their strategies accordingly. For insta