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Think "Patience" is the Word for the Federal Reserve and Interest Rates? Think Again
The Fed says "Patience" is the word when it comes to interest rates. Robust employment numbers have the potential of leading to another U-Turn in Fed Policy Quickly, 2/04/2019 - The main message from this report is clear: While financial markets and business confidence measures were moving south in recent months, employers kept adding workers at a fast rate, specifically 304,000 new jobs in January. If anything, employment growth has accelerated in recent months. Due to the government shutdown, some of the data in this month’s job report is hard to interpret, especially government employment and the overall unemployment rate.

Overall economic activity, and especially consumer spending, rapidly expanded during 2018, forcing employers to catch up with the growing demand by expanding their payrolls. The question is how much more catching up do they have left. We still expect job growth to moderate during 2019, but perhaps more gradually than we projected a month ago.


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